Wednesday, April 6, 2011

12 Precincts in Milwaukee County and 8 Precincts in Sauk County to tell the tale

Current Status
3596 of 3630 precincts reported, or 99%
Prosser                733,074  (.50019958)
Kloppenburg       732,489   (.49980042)
Kloppenburg trails by 585 votes

There are likely some 10,000 to 11,000 votes still outstanding in the Supreme Court race as of 1:38 AM CDT this morning.  Kloppenburg trails by 585 votes or four one hundreths of a percent, also = .000399.  Very small fraction. 

The outcome depends on where the precincts are in Milwaukee and Sauk County.  There are some very red precincts in Milwaukee County. Kloppenburg may get a little help from Ashland, Crawford and Dunn Counties, which have a few precincts outstanding still.  If I am right about the 11,000 votes still out, they have to break about 53% to 47% to Kloppenburg to pull her ahead by a skosh.

No expense incurred by either candidate for requesting a recount under Wisconsin law as the margin will be well less than one-half of one percent.  No automatic recounts in Buckyland.

I am going out on a limb and projecting that by tomorrow morning, Kloppenburg will be marginally ahead in the race.

To bed, perchance to sleep and wake up to an answer.

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